Linfield Donne vs Larne Donne Statistics & Analysis

Jul 31, 2026 - 18:45
2 1.62
0 0.98
xG Accuracy: 69%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Linfield Donne Linfield Donne ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 2-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 05:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1678441

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Linfield Donne win · Linfield Donne 2–0 Larne Donne
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premiership Femminile dell'Irlanda del Nord
  • Fixture: Linfield Donne vs Larne Donne
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-31 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 50.8% · Draw 27.9% · Away 21.3%
  • xG (showing): Linfield Donne 1.62 — Larne Donne 0.98 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 51.6% · No 48.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 51.6% · No 48.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.0%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Premiership Femminile dell'Irlanda del Nord Premiership Femminile dell'Irlanda del Nord — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Crusaders W 5 3 1 1 10
2 Glentoran BU W 3 3 0 0 9
3 Cliftonville W 3 3 0 0 9
4 Linfield Donne 3 2 0 1 6
5 Derry City W 5 2 0 3 6
6 Lisburn 8 1 1 6 4
7 Larne Donne 5 0 2 3 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Glentoran BU W 3 17 0 +17 9
2 Linfield Donne 3 16 3 +13 6
3 Cliftonville W 3 15 2 +13 9
4 Crusaders W 5 11 11 0 10
5 Derry City W 5 10 12 -2 6
6 Lisburn 8 5 27 -22 4
7 Larne Donne 5 4 23 -19 2