Statistiche / Calcio / Kazakistan. 1ª Division Kazakistan / Ekibastuz vs Tobol 2

Ekibastuz vs Tobol 2 Statistics & Analysis

Ekibastuz Ekibastuz
Sep 11, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.23
5 1.37
xG Accuracy: 35%
⚽
Tobol 2
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Tobol 2 Tobol 2 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7021509

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tobol 2 win · Ekibastuz 1–5 Tobol 2
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1ª Division Kazakistan
  • Fixture: Ekibastuz vs Tobol 2
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-11 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Ekibastuz 1.23 — Tobol 2 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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1ª Division Kazakistan 1ª Division Kazakistan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 62
2 Sport Academy Kairat 23 17 5 1 56
3 Turan Turkistan 23 16 2 5 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 43
5 Astana II 23 10 3 10 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30
8 Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 24
12 Aktobe Jas 23 6 5 12 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 12
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Sport Academy Kairat 23 66 12 +54 56
2 Shakhter Karagandy 23 64 8 +56 62
3 Turan Turkistan 23 51 21 +30 50
4 Astana II 23 42 43 -1 33
5 Tobol 2 23 40 57 -17 16
6 Aktobe Jas 23 38 69 -31 23
7 Akademiya Ontustik 23 36 27 +9 43
8 Ekibastuz 23 31 53 -22 26
9 Taraz 23 30 32 -2 30
10 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 29 41 -12 25
11 Arys 23 29 43 -14 24
12 Khan Tengri 23 29 44 -15 25
13 Jaiyq 23 21 26 -5 31
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 17 47 -30 12