Turan Turkistan vs Astana II Statistics & Analysis

Turan Turkistan

Aug 07, 2026 - 15:00

5 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 34%

Astana II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Turan Turkistan Turan Turkistan ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2670894

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Turan Turkistan win · Turan Turkistan 5–1 Astana II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 1ª Division Kazakistan
Fixture: Turan Turkistan vs Astana II
Kickoff: 2026-08-07 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Turan Turkistan 1.32 — Astana II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

1ª Division Kazakistan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Shakhter Karagandy	21	19	1	1	58
2	Sport Academy Kairat	22	16	5	1	53
3	Turan Turkistan	22	15	2	5	47
4	Akademiya Ontustik	22	13	3	6	42
5	Jaiyq	21	9	3	9	30
6	Astana II	22	9	3	10	30
7	Taraz	21	8	4	9	28
8	Ekibastuz	21	7	5	9	26
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	21	7	4	10	25
10	Khan Tengri	21	7	3	11	24
11	Aktobe Jas	22	6	5	11	23
12	Arys	21	5	3	13	18
13	Yelimay Semey 2	22	3	3	16	12
14	Tobol 2	21	2	4	15	10

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Sport Academy Kairat	22	64	12	+52	53
2	Shakhter Karagandy	21	62	7	+55	58
3	Turan Turkistan	22	47	20	+27	47
4	Aktobe Jas	22	37	65	-28	23
5	Akademiya Ontustik	22	36	27	+9	42
6	Astana II	22	35	42	-7	30
7	Tobol 2	21	32	56	-24	10
8	Ekibastuz	21	29	41	-12	26
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	21	28	36	-8	25
10	Taraz	21	27	29	-2	28
11	Khan Tengri	21	26	39	-13	24
12	Arys	21	23	41	-18	18
13	Jaiyq	21	20	24	-4	30
14	Yelimay Semey 2	22	16	43	-27	12