Statistiche / Calcio / Kazakistan. 1ª Division Kazakistan / Tobol 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy

Tobol 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy Statistics & Analysis

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Tobol 2
Jul 31, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.21
2 1.39
xG Accuracy: 61%
Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 02:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1670542

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Shakhter Karagandy win · Tobol 2 0–2 Shakhter Karagandy
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1ª Division Kazakistan
  • Fixture: Tobol 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-31 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Tobol 2 1.21 — Shakhter Karagandy 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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1ª Division Kazakistan 1ª Division Kazakistan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 62
2 Sport Academy Kairat 23 17 5 1 56
3 Turan Turkistan 23 16 2 5 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 43
5 Astana II 23 10 3 10 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30
8 Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 24
12 Aktobe Jas 23 6 5 12 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 12
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Sport Academy Kairat 23 66 12 +54 56
2 Shakhter Karagandy 23 64 8 +56 62
3 Turan Turkistan 23 51 21 +30 50
4 Astana II 23 42 43 -1 33
5 Tobol 2 23 40 57 -17 16
6 Aktobe Jas 23 38 69 -31 23
7 Akademiya Ontustik 23 36 27 +9 43
8 Ekibastuz 23 31 53 -22 26
9 Taraz 23 30 32 -2 30
10 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 29 41 -12 25
11 Arys 23 29 43 -14 24
12 Khan Tengri 23 29 44 -15 25
13 Jaiyq 23 21 26 -5 31
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 17 47 -30 12