Yelimay Semey 2 vs Astana II Statistics & Analysis

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Yelimay Semey 2

Jul 10, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 77%

Astana II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Yelimay Semey 2 Yelimay Semey 2 ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 18:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1625813

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Yelimay Semey 2 win · Yelimay Semey 2 2–1 Astana II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 1ª Division Kazakistan
Fixture: Yelimay Semey 2 vs Astana II
Kickoff: 2026-07-10 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Yelimay Semey 2 1.32 — Astana II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

1ª Division Kazakistan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Shakhter Karagandy	21	19	1	1	58
2	Sport Academy Kairat	22	16	5	1	53
3	Turan Turkistan	22	15	2	5	47
4	Akademiya Ontustik	22	13	3	6	42
5	Jaiyq	21	9	3	9	30
6	Astana II	22	9	3	10	30
7	Taraz	21	8	4	9	28
8	Ekibastuz	21	7	5	9	26
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	21	7	4	10	25
10	Khan Tengri	21	7	3	11	24
11	Aktobe Jas	22	6	5	11	23
12	Arys	21	5	3	13	18
13	Yelimay Semey 2	22	3	3	16	12
14	Tobol 2	21	2	4	15	10

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Sport Academy Kairat	22	64	12	+52	53
2	Shakhter Karagandy	21	62	7	+55	58
3	Turan Turkistan	22	47	20	+27	47
4	Aktobe Jas	22	37	65	-28	23
5	Akademiya Ontustik	22	36	27	+9	42
6	Astana II	22	35	42	-7	30
7	Tobol 2	21	32	56	-24	10
8	Ekibastuz	21	29	41	-12	26
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	21	28	36	-8	25
10	Taraz	21	27	29	-2	28
11	Khan Tengri	21	26	39	-13	24
12	Arys	21	23	41	-18	18
13	Jaiyq	21	20	24	-4	30
14	Yelimay Semey 2	22	16	43	-27	12