Akademiya Ontustik vs Arys Statistics & Analysis

Akademiya Ontustik

Jul 09, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.45

2 1.15

xG Accuracy: 70%

Arys

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Akademiya Ontustik Arys ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 16:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1617629

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Arys win · Akademiya Ontustik 1–2 Arys

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 1ª Division Kazakistan
Fixture: Akademiya Ontustik vs Arys
Kickoff: 2026-07-09 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): Akademiya Ontustik 1.45 — Arys 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

1ª Division Kazakistan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Shakhter Karagandy	21	19	1	1	58
2	Sport Academy Kairat	22	16	5	1	53
3	Turan Turkistan	22	15	2	5	47
4	Akademiya Ontustik	22	13	3	6	42
5	Jaiyq	21	9	3	9	30
6	Astana II	22	9	3	10	30
7	Taraz	21	8	4	9	28
8	Ekibastuz	21	7	5	9	26
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	21	7	4	10	25
10	Khan Tengri	21	7	3	11	24
11	Aktobe Jas	22	6	5	11	23
12	Arys	21	5	3	13	18
13	Yelimay Semey 2	22	3	3	16	12
14	Tobol 2	21	2	4	15	10

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Sport Academy Kairat	22	64	12	+52	53
2	Shakhter Karagandy	21	62	7	+55	58
3	Turan Turkistan	22	47	20	+27	47
4	Aktobe Jas	22	37	65	-28	23
5	Akademiya Ontustik	22	36	27	+9	42
6	Astana II	22	35	42	-7	30
7	Tobol 2	21	32	56	-24	10
8	Ekibastuz	21	29	41	-12	26
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	21	28	36	-8	25
10	Taraz	21	27	29	-2	28
11	Khan Tengri	21	26	39	-13	24
12	Arys	21	23	41	-18	18
13	Jaiyq	21	20	24	-4	30
14	Yelimay Semey 2	22	16	43	-27	12