ASA Aarhus W vs Thy ThistedQ Statistics & Analysis

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ASA Aarhus W

Jun 13, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.64

1 1.34

xG Accuracy: 82%

Thy ThistedQ

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 ASA Aarhus W ASA Aarhus W ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 19:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2068398

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result ASA Aarhus W win · ASA Aarhus W 2–1 Thy ThistedQ

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Kvindeliga Danese
Fixture: ASA Aarhus W vs Thy ThistedQ
Kickoff: 2026-06-13 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 43.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away 29.9%
xG (showing): ASA Aarhus W 1.64 — Thy ThistedQ 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.98)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Kvindeliga Danese — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Køge	23	15	5	3	50
2	Brøndby IF	23	13	8	2	47
3	Fortuna Hjørring	23	11	5	7	38
4	Nordsjælland	23	9	10	4	37
5	AGF Aarhus	23	7	5	11	26
6	KoldingQ	23	5	3	15	18
7	Midtjylland W	14	2	3	9	9
8	Odense Q	14	1	1	12	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Køge	23	47	21	+26	50
2	Nordsjælland	23	47	25	+22	37
3	Brøndby IF	23	36	16	+20	47
4	Fortuna Hjørring	23	36	21	+15	38
5	AGF Aarhus	23	26	31	-5	26
6	KoldingQ	23	24	52	-28	18
7	Midtjylland W	14	14	30	-16	9
8	Odense Q	14	6	40	-34	4