Volna vs Lida Statistics & Analysis

Volna

Oct 02, 2026 - 14:30

0 1.22

2 1.38

xG Accuracy: 60%

Lida

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Lida Lida ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11249421

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Lida win · Volna 0–2 Lida

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Prima Divisione Bielorussa
Fixture: Volna vs Lida
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
xG (showing): Volna 1.22 — Lida 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 32.0% · Probability edge: +19.8 pts · Est. EV: +46.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Prima Divisione Bielorussa — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	FC Slutsk	27	17	6	4	57
2	Niva Grodno	27	17	4	6	55
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	54
4	FC Energetik-BGU Minsk	27	16	5	6	53
5	Slonim	27	14	5	8	47
6	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	26	14	3	9	45
7	Bumprom	27	12	5	10	41
8	Shakhter Soligorsk	27	11	7	9	40
9	Dinamo Minsk II	25	10	5	10	35
10	Ostrovets FC	27	8	11	8	35
11	Volna	27	10	4	13	34
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33
13	Minsk II	27	9	3	15	30
14	Orsha	27	7	6	14	27
15	Uni Minsk	26	6	8	12	26
16	BATE II	27	5	7	15	22
17	Gomel II	27	5	6	16	21
18	Osipovichy	27	5	4	18	19

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Niva Grodno	27	67	31	+36	55
2	FC Slutsk	27	56	28	+28	57
3	FC Energetik-BGU Minsk	27	56	31	+25	53
4	Bumprom	27	52	41	+11	41
5	Shakhter Soligorsk	27	52	44	+8	40
6	Lida	27	51	43	+8	54
7	Slonim	27	49	32	+17	47
8	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	26	45	40	+5	45
9	Dinamo Minsk II	25	42	37	+5	35
10	Volna	27	40	50	-10	34
11	Ostrovets FC	27	37	39	-2	35
12	Minsk II	27	37	50	-13	30
13	Gomel II	27	36	55	-19	21
14	BATE II	27	36	61	-25	22
15	Smorgon	27	33	36	-3	33
16	Osipovichy	27	29	67	-38	19
17	Orsha	27	28	51	-23	27
18	Uni Minsk	26	25	35	-10	26