Bumprom vs Lida Statistics & Analysis

Bumprom

Sep 19, 2026 - 11:30

4 1.30

0 1.30

xG Accuracy: 33%

Lida

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Bumprom Bumprom ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8661700

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Bumprom win · Bumprom 4–0 Lida

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Prima Divisione Bielorussa
Fixture: Bumprom vs Lida
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 11:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Bumprom 1.3 — Lida 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Prima Divisione Bielorussa — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Niva Grodno	25	16	3	6	51
2	FC Slutsk	25	15	6	4	51
3	Lida	25	15	3	7	48
4	FC Energetik-BGU Minsk	25	14	5	6	47
5	Slonim	25	13	4	8	43
6	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	24	13	3	8	42
7	Bumprom	25	11	4	10	37
8	Dinamo Minsk II	25	10	5	10	35
9	Volna	25	10	4	11	34
10	Shakhter Soligorsk	24	9	6	9	33
11	Ostrovets FC	24	8	9	7	33
12	Smorgon	25	8	6	11	30
13	Minsk II	25	9	3	13	30
14	Orsha	25	7	5	13	26
15	Uni Minsk	25	6	7	12	25
16	Gomel II	25	5	6	14	21
17	BATE II	24	5	6	13	21
18	Osipovichy	25	5	3	17	18

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Niva Grodno	25	63	31	+32	51
2	FC Slutsk	25	48	24	+24	51
3	FC Energetik-BGU Minsk	25	48	30	+18	47
4	Bumprom	25	47	37	+10	37
5	Lida	25	47	42	+5	48
6	Slonim	25	46	30	+16	43
7	Shakhter Soligorsk	24	46	43	+3	33
8	Dinamo Minsk II	25	42	37	+5	35
9	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	24	41	34	+7	42
10	Volna	25	40	44	-4	34
11	Minsk II	25	36	46	-10	30
12	BATE II	24	34	55	-21	21
13	Ostrovets FC	24	33	34	-1	33
14	Gomel II	25	33	48	-15	21
15	Smorgon	25	30	34	-4	30
16	Orsha	25	27	46	-19	26
17	Osipovichy	25	26	62	-36	18
18	Uni Minsk	25	24	34	-10	25