Statistiche / Calcio / Canada. Northern Super League Canada / Halifax Tides vs AFC Toronto

Halifax Tides vs AFC Toronto Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.11
1 1.49
xG Accuracy: 85%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 AFC Toronto Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8706544

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Halifax Tides 1–1 AFC Toronto
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Northern Super League Canada
  • Fixture: Halifax Tides vs AFC Toronto
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 26.7% · Draw 29.0% · Away 44.3%
  • xG (showing): Halifax Tides 1.11 — AFC Toronto 1.49 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Northern Super League Canada Northern Super League Canada — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 AFC Toronto 22 10 7 5 37
2 Montreal Roses 20 10 6 4 36
3 Ottawa Rapid 22 11 3 8 36
4 Vancouver Rise 21 8 3 10 27
5 Halifax Tides 21 7 4 10 25
6 Calgary Wild 20 3 5 12 14
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Ottawa Rapid 22 44 41 +3 36
2 Vancouver Rise 21 40 44 -4 27
3 Montreal Roses 20 38 25 +13 36
4 AFC Toronto 22 36 21 +15 37
5 Calgary Wild 20 22 49 -27 14
6 Halifax Tides 21 21 21 0 25