Statistiche / Calcio / Corea del Sud. WK-League Corea del Sud / Incheon Red Angels vs Hwacheon KSPO

Incheon Red Angels vs Hwacheon KSPO Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.26
3 1.34
xG Accuracy: 45%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Hwacheon KSPO Hwacheon KSPO ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10965107

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hwacheon KSPO win · Incheon Red Angels 0–3 Hwacheon KSPO
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: WK-League Corea del Sud
  • Fixture: Incheon Red Angels vs Hwacheon KSPO
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Incheon Red Angels 1.26 — Hwacheon KSPO 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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WK-League Corea del Sud WK-League Corea del Sud — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Suwon FMC 26 19 2 5 59
2 Hwacheon KSPO 27 15 9 3 54
3 Seoul 27 11 4 12 37
4 Boeun Sangmu 26 11 3 12 36
5 Gyeongju 26 9 7 10 34
6 Gumi Sportstoto 26 9 5 12 32
7 Incheon Red Angels 26 6 6 14 24
8 Changnyeong 26 4 6 16 18
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Suwon FMC 26 59 21 +38 59
2 Hwacheon KSPO 27 38 13 +25 54
3 Gyeongju 26 36 32 +4 34
4 Boeun Sangmu 26 26 32 -6 36
5 Gumi Sportstoto 26 25 33 -8 32
6 Seoul 27 25 34 -9 37
7 Changnyeong 26 23 50 -27 18
8 Incheon Red Angels 26 21 38 -17 24