Ulverstone U21 vs Burnie United Statistics & Analysis

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Ulverstone U21

Jun 19, 2026 - 10:15

4 1.44

2 1.16

xG Accuracy: 39%

Burnie United

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Ulverstone U21 Ulverstone U21 ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 00:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1661457

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ulverstone U21 win · Ulverstone U21 4–2 Burnie United

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Campionato Settentrionale della Tasmania
Fixture: Ulverstone U21 vs Burnie United
Kickoff: 2026-06-19 10:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away 28.8%
xG (showing): Ulverstone U21 1.44 — Burnie United 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Campionato Settentrionale della Tasmania — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Northern Rangers	21	20	0	1	60
2	Devonport U21	21	16	2	3	50
3	Ulverstone U21	20	11	3	6	36
4	Launceston U21	20	9	0	11	27
5	Somerset	20	7	2	11	23
6	Burnie United	21	7	2	12	23
7	Riverside Olympic U21	20	5	0	15	15
8	Launceston United U21	21	2	1	18	7

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Northern Rangers	21	130	24	+106	60
2	Devonport U21	21	107	27	+80	50
3	Burnie United	21	52	79	-27	23
4	Ulverstone U21	20	49	38	+11	36
5	Somerset	20	40	59	-19	23
6	Launceston U21	20	32	39	-7	27
7	Riverside Olympic U21	20	28	76	-48	15
8	Launceston United U21	21	19	115	-96	7