Statistiche / Calcio / Australia. Lega 1 NNSW / Toronto Awaba Stags vs Lake Macquarie

Toronto Awaba Stags vs Lake Macquarie Statistics & Analysis

Toronto Awaba Stags Toronto Awaba Stags
Aug 15, 2026 - 04:00
1 1.47
4 1.13
xG Accuracy: 40%
Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Toronto Awaba Stags Lake Macquarie ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3334567

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Lake Macquarie win · Toronto Awaba Stags 1–4 Lake Macquarie
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Lega 1 NNSW
  • Fixture: Toronto Awaba Stags vs Lake Macquarie
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-15 04:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.5%
  • xG (showing): Toronto Awaba Stags 1.47 — Lake Macquarie 1.13 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Lega 1 NNSW Lega 1 NNSW — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Wallsend Red Devils 9 6 2 1 20
2 Lake Macquarie 9 6 1 2 19
3 Dudley Redhead United 10 6 1 3 19
4 New Lambton FC 9 5 2 2 17
5 Newcastle Croatia FC 9 4 0 5 12
6 West Wallsend 8 3 1 4 10
7 Cessnock City Hornets 9 2 3 4 9
8 Singleton Strikers 9 2 3 4 9
9 Toronto Awaba Stags 10 2 1 7 7
10 South Cardiff 8 2 0 6 6
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Lake Macquarie 9 28 12 +16 19
2 Wallsend Red Devils 9 25 14 +11 20
3 Newcastle Croatia FC 9 21 24 -3 12
4 Dudley Redhead United 10 20 15 +5 19
5 New Lambton FC 9 17 10 +7 17
6 West Wallsend 8 15 22 -7 10
7 Cessnock City Hornets 9 12 11 +1 9
8 Toronto Awaba Stags 10 11 25 -14 7
9 Singleton Strikers 9 8 13 -5 9
10 South Cardiff 8 6 17 -11 6