Statistiche / Calcio / Stati Uniti. USL W League / Racing Louisville vs Toledo Villa W

Racing Louisville vs Toledo Villa W Statistics & Analysis

Racing Louisville Racing Louisville
Jun 27, 2026 - 22:00
3 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 46%
Toledo Villa W Toledo Villa W
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Racing Louisville Racing Louisville ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 18:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1916953

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Racing Louisville win · Racing Louisville 3–0 Toledo Villa W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: USL W League
  • Fixture: Racing Louisville vs Toledo Villa W
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-27 22:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Racing Louisville 1.39 — Toledo Villa W 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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USL W League USL W League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Indy Eleven Femminile 7 4 1 2 13
2 Racing Louisville 6 3 2 1 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 3 1 1 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 0 0 6 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Indy Eleven Femminile 7 19 4 +15 13
2 Racing Louisville 6 9 6 +3 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 8 8 0 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 3 21 -18 0