Statistiche / Calcio / Stati Uniti. USL W League / SSA Royals vs Asheville City W

SSA Royals vs Asheville City W Statistics & Analysis

SSA Royals SSA Royals
Jun 17, 2026 - 23:30
1 1.18
5 1.42
xG Accuracy: 36%
Asheville City W Asheville City W
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Asheville City W Asheville City W ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 08, 2026 · 23:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7683216

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Asheville City W win · SSA Royals 1–5 Asheville City W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: USL W League
  • Fixture: SSA Royals vs Asheville City W
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-17 23:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
  • xG (showing): SSA Royals 1.18 — Asheville City W 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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USL W League USL W League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Indy Eleven Femminile 7 4 1 2 13
2 Racing Louisville 6 3 2 1 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 3 1 1 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 0 0 6 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Indy Eleven Femminile 7 19 4 +15 13
2 Racing Louisville 6 9 6 +3 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 8 8 0 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 3 21 -18 0