Gazalkent vs Yaypan Statistics & Analysis

Sep 11, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Gazalkent Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7023204

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Gazalkent 0–0 Yaypan
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Pro League Uzbekistan
  • Fixture: Gazalkent vs Yaypan
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Gazalkent 1.32 — Yaypan 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.0% · Probability edge: +5.8 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Pro League Uzbekistan Pro League UzbekistanClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Aral 19 14 4 1 46
2 Shortan 19 12 3 4 39
3 Metalourg 19 11 4 4 37
4 FarDu 19 10 6 3 36
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 33
6 Lochin 19 9 5 5 32
7 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 31
8 Gazalkent 19 8 5 6 29
9 Jayxun 19 7 3 9 24
10 Yaypan 19 6 4 9 22
11 Respublika FA 17 4 4 9 16
12 BuxDu 18 3 1 14 10
13 Pakhtakor II 19 3 1 15 10
14 Qiziriq 19 1 1 17 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Metalourg 19 45 16 +29 37
2 Aral 19 37 11 +26 46
3 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 34 20 +14 31
4 FarDu 19 34 26 +8 36
5 Gazalkent 19 32 22 +10 29
6 Shortan 19 31 19 +12 39
7 Lochin 19 26 20 +6 32
8 Kattaqurgon 19 24 17 +7 33
9 Jayxun 19 22 24 -2 24
10 Yaypan 19 21 32 -11 22
11 Respublika FA 17 20 28 -8 16
12 BuxDu 18 14 43 -29 10
13 Pakhtakor II 19 13 42 -29 10
14 Qiziriq 19 11 44 -33 4