BFA vs Hegelmann II Statistics & Analysis

BFA

Jun 20, 2026 - 16:00

0 1.45

1 1.15

xG Accuracy: 64%

Hegelmann II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 BFA Hegelmann II ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 16:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1618565

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hegelmann II win · BFA 0–1 Hegelmann II

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 1 Lyga Lituania
Fixture: BFA vs Hegelmann II
Kickoff: 2026-06-20 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): BFA 1.45 — Hegelmann II 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

1 Lyga Lituania — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Minija	25	22	1	2	67
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	61
3	Be1 NFA	24	16	2	6	50
4	Neptūną Klaipėda	25	14	2	9	44
5	Tauras	25	13	4	8	43
6	Žalgiris II	25	13	4	8	43
7	BFA	25	13	4	8	43
8	Dainava	25	11	7	7	40
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	30
10	Jonava	25	7	6	12	27
11	Garliava	25	7	4	14	25
12	Kauno Žalgiris II	25	7	1	17	22
13	Hegelmann II	25	7	1	17	22
14	Transinvest 2	25	6	3	16	21
15	FA Šiauliai II	25	4	5	16	17
16	Ekranas	25	4	2	19	14

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Minija	25	68	13	+55	67
2	Babrungas	25	43	11	+32	61
3	Be1 NFA	24	43	25	+18	50
4	Tauras	25	43	31	+12	43
5	BFA	25	39	35	+4	43
6	Žalgiris II	25	38	32	+6	43
7	Atmosfera	24	37	33	+4	30
8	Dainava	25	35	25	+10	40
9	Neptūną Klaipėda	25	33	30	+3	44
10	Hegelmann II	25	30	56	-26	22
11	Garliava	25	29	31	-2	25
12	Transinvest 2	25	29	58	-29	21
13	Jonava	25	28	33	-5	27
14	FA Šiauliai II	25	27	56	-29	17
15	Ekranas	25	25	58	-33	14
16	Kauno Žalgiris II	25	23	43	-20	22