Metta / LU vs JFK Ventspils Statistics & Analysis

Metta / LU

Sep 12, 2026 - 11:00

7 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 15%

JFK Ventspils

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Metta / LU Metta / LU ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 7-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7422240

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Metta / LU win · Metta / LU 7–0 JFK Ventspils

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 1ª Liga Lettonia
Fixture: Metta / LU vs JFK Ventspils
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Metta / LU 1.32 — JFK Ventspils 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.3%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

1ª Liga Lettonia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Metta / LU	20	16	3	1	51
2	Valmiera / BSS	20	16	3	1	51
3	Leevon / PPK	20	14	4	2	46
4	Riga Mariners	20	13	5	2	44
5	JDFS Alberts	20	11	4	5	37
6	Mārupe	20	9	1	10	28
7	Super Nova 2	20	6	7	7	25
8	Riga FC II	20	7	4	9	25
9	Skanste	19	7	2	10	23
10	Rīgas FS II	19	4	3	12	15
11	Smiltene	20	3	4	13	13
12	JFK Ventspils	19	2	6	11	12
13	Tukums II	19	3	3	13	12
14	Rēzekne FA	20	1	3	16	6

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Metta / LU	20	86	16	+70	51
2	Valmiera / BSS	20	58	19	+39	51
3	Riga Mariners	20	46	21	+25	44
4	JDFS Alberts	20	41	28	+13	37
5	Skanste	19	39	38	+1	23
6	Leevon / PPK	20	37	22	+15	46
7	Mārupe	20	34	32	+2	28
8	Riga FC II	20	29	37	-8	25
9	Super Nova 2	20	28	30	-2	25
10	Rīgas FS II	19	28	52	-24	15
11	Smiltene	20	27	57	-30	13
12	Tukums II	19	23	59	-36	12
13	JFK Ventspils	19	20	40	-20	12
14	Rēzekne FA	20	16	61	-45	6