Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty Statistics & Analysis

Kyzyl-Zhar

Jun 21, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.13

4 1.47

xG Accuracy: 39%

Kairat Almaty

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1461674

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kairat Almaty win · Kyzyl-Zhar 2–4 Kairat Almaty

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Premier League Kazakistan
Fixture: Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty
Kickoff: 2026-06-21 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 24.1% · Draw 28.0% · Away 47.9%
xG (showing): Kyzyl-Zhar 1.13 — Kairat Almaty 1.47 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 53.7% · Implied: 44.0% · Probability edge: +9.7 pts · Est. EV: +19.2%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premier League Kazakistan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Ordabasy	25	18	4	3	58
2	Kairat Almaty	25	17	6	2	57
3	FC Astana	24	13	6	5	45
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	45
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	42
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	38
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	26	10	4	12	34
8	Zhenys	26	8	8	10	32
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	32
10	Kaspiy	26	8	5	13	29
11	Irtysh Pavlodar	25	6	8	11	26
12	Kyzyl-Zhar	26	6	7	13	25
13	Kaisar	26	4	12	10	24
14	Atyrau	24	4	11	9	23
15	Altay	26	5	8	13	23
16	Zhetysu	26	5	7	14	22

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Kairat Almaty	25	51	19	+32	57
2	Ordabasy	25	48	18	+30	58
3	FC Astana	24	41	25	+16	45
4	Okzhetpes	26	41	35	+6	45
5	Aktobe	26	38	31	+7	42
6	Yelimay Semey	25	35	33	+2	38
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	26	33	35	-2	34
8	Kyzyl-Zhar	26	28	39	-11	25
9	Kaspiy	26	27	36	-9	29
10	Zhenys	26	26	32	-6	32
11	Irtysh Pavlodar	25	26	34	-8	26
12	Zhetysu	26	26	44	-18	22
13	Altay	26	25	38	-13	23
14	Ulytau	26	24	32	-8	32
15	Kaisar	26	22	33	-11	24
16	Atyrau	24	18	25	-7	23