Ravshan vs Khosilot Farkhor Statistics & Analysis

Ravshan

Oct 11, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.42

1 1.18

xG Accuracy: 85%

Khosilot Farkhor

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Ravshan Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13201716

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Ravshan 1–1 Khosilot Farkhor

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Vysshaya Liga Tagikistan
Fixture: Ravshan vs Khosilot Farkhor
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
xG (showing): Ravshan 1.42 — Khosilot Farkhor 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Vysshaya Liga Tagikistan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Istiqlol	17	11	4	2	37
2	Regar-TadAZ	17	11	4	2	37
3	Khosilot Farkhor	17	10	4	3	34
4	Barki Tajik	16	7	3	6	24
5	CSKA Pomir	16	7	3	6	24
6	Khujand	16	6	6	4	24
7	Ravshan	17	6	4	7	22
8	Khatlon	17	4	8	5	20
9	Eskhata	17	5	4	8	19
10	Parvoz	17	4	3	10	15
11	Sardor Tursunzoda	16	2	5	9	11
12	Istaravshan	17	0	6	11	6

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Khosilot Farkhor	17	34	17	+17	34
2	Barki Tajik	16	24	23	+1	24
3	Khatlon	17	24	24	0	20
4	Istiqlol	17	23	6	+17	37
5	Regar-TadAZ	17	23	9	+14	37
6	Ravshan	17	23	19	+4	22
7	Sardor Tursunzoda	16	23	31	-8	11
8	Eskhata	17	22	32	-10	19
9	CSKA Pomir	16	18	20	-2	24
10	Khujand	16	15	11	+4	24
11	Parvoz	17	15	32	-17	15
12	Istaravshan	17	15	35	-20	6