Statistiche / Calcio / Kirghizistan. Premier League Kirghizistan / Asia Talas vs Muras United

Asia Talas vs Muras United Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Asia Talas
Jun 22, 2026 - 14:30
0 1.20
4 1.40
xG Accuracy: 35%
Muras United Muras United
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Muras United Muras United ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 21:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1768520

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Muras United win · Asia Talas 0–4 Muras United
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League Kirghizistan
  • Fixture: Asia Talas vs Muras United
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-22 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Asia Talas 1.2 — Muras United 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Kirghizistan Premier League Kirghizistan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Muras United 22 13 7 2 46
2 Alga 23 13 7 3 46
3 Ozgon 22 14 3 5 45
4 Bars 22 13 4 5 43
5 Asia Talas 23 12 7 4 43
6 Alay 23 11 6 6 39
7 Talant 24 7 9 8 30
8 Dordoi Bishkek 23 8 5 10 29
9 Neftchi 23 9 2 12 29
10 OshMU Aldier 23 7 7 9 28
11 Toktogul 23 8 4 11 28
12 Ilbirs 22 5 10 7 25
13 Bishkek City 23 5 9 9 24
14 Asiagoal 23 4 9 10 21
15 Abdish-Ata 23 3 5 15 14
16 Kara-Balta 24 1 6 17 9
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bars 22 61 33 +28 43
2 Asia Talas 23 52 36 +16 43
3 Ozgon 22 48 26 +22 45
4 Muras United 22 47 20 +27 46
5 Alga 23 41 23 +18 46
6 Dordoi Bishkek 23 36 32 +4 29
7 OshMU Aldier 23 34 41 -7 28
8 Neftchi 23 31 39 -8 29
9 Alay 23 30 27 +3 39
10 Talant 24 29 25 +4 30
11 Ilbirs 22 28 34 -6 25
12 Asiagoal 23 27 39 -12 21
13 Toktogul 23 26 35 -9 28
14 Bishkek City 23 22 31 -9 24
15 Abdish-Ata 23 20 47 -27 14
16 Kara-Balta 24 19 63 -44 9