Statistiche / Calcio / Bielorussia. Premier League Bielorussia / Baranovichi vs FC Gomel

Baranovichi vs FC Gomel Statistics & Analysis

Baranovichi Baranovichi
Sep 20, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.27
2 1.33
xG Accuracy: 59%
FC Gomel FC Gomel
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 FC Gomel FC Gomel ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8665200

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result FC Gomel win · Baranovichi 0–2 FC Gomel
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League Bielorussia
  • Fixture: Baranovichi vs FC Gomel
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Baranovichi 1.27 — FC Gomel 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Bielorussia Premier League Bielorussia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 FC Isloch Minsk Raion 22 13 6 3 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 44
3 Dinamo Minsk 21 13 4 4 43
4 Dinamo Brest 23 12 4 7 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 39
6 Neman Grodno 22 11 4 7 37
7 FC Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 34
9 Torpedo Zhodino 22 7 6 9 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 25
11 Baranovichi 23 6 7 10 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 21
14 Bate Borisov 22 3 9 10 18
15 FC Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 14
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 ML Vitebsk 21 42 17 +25 44
2 Dinamo Brest 23 38 23 +15 40
3 Dinamo Minsk 21 37 16 +21 43
4 FC Isloch Minsk Raion 22 37 18 +19 45
5 FC Gomel 23 33 18 +15 39
6 FC Minsk 23 30 28 +2 34
7 FC Vitebsk 23 28 21 +7 36
8 Torpedo Zhodino 22 28 29 -1 27
9 Neman Grodno 22 26 20 +6 37
10 Baranovichi 23 24 38 -14 25
11 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 24 41 -17 23
12 Slavia Mozyr 22 23 26 -3 25
13 Belshina 22 22 36 -14 21
14 FC Dnepr Mogilev 23 20 36 -16 16
15 Naftan 23 20 54 -34 14
16 Bate Borisov 22 16 27 -11 18