Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs JK Tabasalu Statistics & Analysis

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Oct 14, 2026 - 15:00

2 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 78%

JK Tabasalu

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13897123

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Parnu JK Vaprus U21 win · Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2–1 JK Tabasalu

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Esiliiga B Estone
Fixture: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs JK Tabasalu
Kickoff: 2026-10-14 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Parnu JK Vaprus U21 1.34 — JK Tabasalu 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Esiliiga B Estone — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Narva U21	30	20	3	7	63
2	Levadia U19	31	19	2	10	59
3	Phoenix	30	17	3	10	54
4	Tulevik	31	14	5	12	47
4	Johvi Phoenix	19	11	1	7	34
5	Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	47
6	Luunja	30	14	5	11	47
7	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	30	14	4	12	46
8	JK Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	33
9	Tallinna Kalev II	31	8	5	18	29
10	Legion	31	3	4	24	13

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	30	95	62	+33	46
2	Tulevik	31	81	64	+17	47
3	Levadia U19	31	78	52	+26	59
4	Luunja	30	74	63	+11	47
5	Tartu Kalev	30	72	58	+14	47
6	Narva U21	30	71	36	+35	63
7	Phoenix	30	71	68	+3	54
8	Tallinna Kalev II	31	63	78	-15	29
9	Johvi Phoenix	19	49	47	+2	34
10	JK Tabasalu	30	44	81	-37	33
11	Legion	31	29	116	-87	13