Fakel U19 vs Chertanovo U20 Statistics & Analysis

Fakel U19

Oct 09, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.27

1 1.33

xG Accuracy: 75%

Chertanovo U20

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Chertanovo U20 Fakel U19 ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12681811

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Fakel U19 win · Fakel U19 2–1 Chertanovo U20

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Campionato Giovanile Russia
Fixture: Fakel U19 vs Chertanovo U20
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Fakel U19 1.27 — Chertanovo U20 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 35.9% · Probability edge: +15.9 pts · Est. EV: +30.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Campionato Giovanile Russia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	CSKA Mosca U19	24	18	2	4	56
2	Krasnodar U19	24	17	2	5	53
3	Zenit U19	24	16	3	5	51
4	Rodina Moscow U19	24	15	3	6	48
5	Lokomotiv Mosca U19	24	14	5	5	47
6	Akademiya Konoplev U20	24	13	5	6	44
7	Almaz Antey U19	24	11	5	8	38
8	Spartak Mosca U19	24	7	10	7	31
9	Rostov U19	24	9	4	11	31
10	Dinamo Mosca U19	24	9	2	13	29
11	Dynamo Makhachkala U19	24	7	3	14	24
12	Chertanovo U20	24	6	5	13	23
13	Ural U20	24	6	4	14	22
14	Nizhny Novgorod U19	24	5	4	15	19
15	Rubin Kazan U20	24	4	3	17	15
16	Fakel U19	24	3	4	17	13

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	CSKA Mosca U19	24	77	33	+44	56
2	Krasnodar U19	24	72	36	+36	53
3	Zenit U19	24	68	32	+36	51
4	Rodina Moscow U19	24	62	31	+31	48
5	Lokomotiv Mosca U19	24	59	37	+22	47
6	Akademiya Konoplev U20	24	51	37	+14	44
7	Almaz Antey U19	24	46	51	-5	38
8	Dinamo Mosca U19	24	39	46	-7	29
9	Spartak Mosca U19	24	38	41	-3	31
10	Rostov U19	24	36	42	-6	31
11	Chertanovo U20	24	33	55	-22	23
12	Dynamo Makhachkala U19	24	32	56	-24	24
13	Ural U20	24	29	51	-22	22
14	Nizhny Novgorod U19	24	29	64	-35	19
15	Rubin Kazan U20	24	26	59	-33	15
16	Fakel U19	24	25	51	-26	13