UMF Njardvík vs Leiknir Reykjavík Statistics & Analysis

UMF Njardvík

Jun 19, 2026 - 19:15

1 1.41

0 1.19

xG Accuracy: 64%

Leiknir Reykjavík

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 UMF Njardvík UMF Njardvík ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 15:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1610096

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result UMF Njardvík win · UMF Njardvík 1–0 Leiknir Reykjavík

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 1. Deild islandese
Fixture: UMF Njardvík vs Leiknir Reykjavík
Kickoff: 2026-06-19 19:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): UMF Njardvík 1.41 — Leiknir Reykjavík 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

1. Deild islandese — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Afturelding	22	14	3	5	45
2	Throttur Reykjavik	22	13	4	5	43
3	Fylkir	22	13	1	8	40
4	HK Kopavogur	22	12	2	8	38
5	UMF Njardvík	22	12	2	8	38
6	Leiknir Reykjavík	22	8	4	10	28
7	IR Reykjavik	22	8	4	10	28
8	Grotta	22	8	3	11	27
9	Vestri	22	8	3	11	27
10	Völsungur	22	7	5	10	26
11	Grindavík	22	5	10	7	25
12	Ægir	22	2	3	17	9

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Afturelding	22	65	33	+32	45
2	HK Kopavogur	22	52	40	+12	38
3	Throttur Reykjavik	22	50	25	+25	43
4	Fylkir	22	49	36	+13	40
5	IR Reykjavik	22	40	46	-6	28
6	UMF Njardvík	22	38	29	+9	38
7	Grotta	22	36	43	-7	27
8	Leiknir Reykjavík	22	34	33	+1	28
9	Völsungur	22	32	44	-12	26
10	Vestri	22	30	43	-13	27
11	Grindavík	22	25	35	-10	25
12	Ægir	22	25	69	-44	9