Sölvesborg vs Berga Statistics & Analysis

Sölvesborg

Sep 27, 2026 - 11:00

3 1.46

2 1.14

xG Accuracy: 52%

Berga

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Sölvesborg Sölvesborg ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10084773

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sölvesborg win · Sölvesborg 3–2 Berga

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Fixture: Sölvesborg vs Berga
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.9%
xG (showing): Sölvesborg 1.46 — Berga 1.14 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.8% · Probability edge: +14.0 pts · Est. EV: +32.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Division 2 - Södra Götaland — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Karlskrona AIF	24	19	3	2	60
2	IFK Trelleborg	24	15	5	4	50
3	Oskarshamns AIK	24	14	3	7	45
4	Nosaby	25	12	6	7	42
5	Linero	25	13	2	10	41
6	Berga	24	12	4	8	40
7	Växjö Norra	25	9	8	8	35
8	Österlen	24	8	6	10	30
9	Lilla Torg	25	6	11	8	29
10	Sölvesborg	25	9	2	14	29
11	Staffanstorp United	24	6	8	10	26
12	Torns	24	7	0	17	21
13	Räppe	25	4	6	15	18
14	IFK Karlshamn	24	4	2	18	14

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Karlskrona AIF	24	63	21	+42	60
2	Oskarshamns AIK	24	60	30	+30	45
3	Berga	24	52	36	+16	40
4	IFK Trelleborg	24	51	23	+28	50
5	Linero	25	48	42	+6	41
6	Nosaby	25	47	40	+7	42
7	Österlen	24	37	41	-4	30
8	Staffanstorp United	24	37	41	-4	26
9	Sölvesborg	25	36	47	-11	29
10	Lilla Torg	25	34	42	-8	29
11	Växjö Norra	25	32	36	-4	35
12	Torns	24	31	66	-35	21
13	Räppe	25	26	55	-29	18
14	IFK Karlshamn	24	26	60	-34	14