Sölvesborg vs Karlskrona AIF Statistics & Analysis

Sölvesborg

Sep 12, 2026 - 11:00

0 1.27

2 1.33

xG Accuracy: 59%

Karlskrona AIF

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Karlskrona AIF Karlskrona AIF ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 00:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7421842

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Karlskrona AIF win · Sölvesborg 0–2 Karlskrona AIF

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Fixture: Sölvesborg vs Karlskrona AIF
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Sölvesborg 1.27 — Karlskrona AIF 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 22, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Division 2 - Södra Götaland — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Karlskrona AIF	22	17	3	2	54
2	Oskarshamns AIK	22	13	3	6	42
3	IFK Trelleborg	21	12	5	4	41
4	Berga	22	11	4	7	37
5	Linero	22	11	2	9	35
6	Växjö Norra	21	9	6	6	33
7	Nosaby	21	9	5	7	32
8	Österlen	22	8	5	9	29
9	Lilla Torg	22	6	9	7	27
10	Sölvesborg	21	8	1	12	25
11	Staffanstorp United	22	5	8	9	23
12	Torns	22	7	0	15	21
13	Räppe	22	4	5	13	17
14	IFK Karlshamn	22	3	2	17	11

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Karlskrona AIF	22	57	19	+38	54
2	Oskarshamns AIK	22	55	26	+29	42
3	Berga	22	47	33	+14	37
4	IFK Trelleborg	21	41	19	+22	41
5	Nosaby	21	39	37	+2	32
6	Linero	22	39	38	+1	35
7	Österlen	22	34	35	-1	29
8	Staffanstorp United	22	33	38	-5	23
9	Sölvesborg	21	31	36	-5	25
10	Växjö Norra	21	30	30	0	33
11	Torns	22	30	59	-29	21
12	Lilla Torg	22	28	35	-7	27
13	Räppe	22	24	50	-26	17
14	IFK Karlshamn	22	23	56	-33	11