Karlskrona AIF vs Berga Statistics & Analysis

Karlskrona AIF

Aug 30, 2026 - 12:00

4 1.51

1 1.09

xG Accuracy: 49%

Berga

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Karlskrona AIF Karlskrona AIF ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5289661

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Karlskrona AIF win · Karlskrona AIF 4–1 Berga

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Fixture: Karlskrona AIF vs Berga
Kickoff: 2026-08-30 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 45.3% · Draw 28.9% · Away 25.8%
xG (showing): Karlskrona AIF 1.51 — Berga 1.09 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Division 2 - Södra Götaland — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Karlskrona AIF	21	16	3	2	51
2	Oskarshamns AIK	21	13	3	5	42
3	IFK Trelleborg	21	12	5	4	41
4	Berga	21	10	4	7	34
5	Linero	21	11	1	9	34
6	Växjö Norra	21	9	6	6	33
7	Nosaby	21	9	5	7	32
8	Österlen	21	8	4	9	28
9	Lilla Torg	21	6	8	7	26
10	Sölvesborg	21	8	1	12	25
11	Staffanstorp United	21	5	7	9	22
12	Torns	20	6	0	14	18
13	Räppe	21	3	5	13	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	20	3	2	15	11

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Karlskrona AIF	21	55	19	+36	51
2	Oskarshamns AIK	21	55	24	+31	42
3	Berga	21	43	32	+11	34
4	IFK Trelleborg	21	41	19	+22	41
5	Nosaby	21	39	37	+2	32
6	Linero	21	37	36	+1	34
7	Österlen	21	32	33	-1	28
8	Sölvesborg	21	31	36	-5	25
9	Staffanstorp United	21	31	36	-5	22
10	Växjö Norra	21	30	30	0	33
11	Torns	20	27	56	-29	18
12	Lilla Torg	21	26	33	-7	26
13	Räppe	21	22	49	-27	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	20	21	50	-29	11