Lidköping vs Stenungsund Statistics & Analysis

Aug 08, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.45
2 1.15
xG Accuracy: 70%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Lidköping Stenungsund ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2817238

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Stenungsund win · Lidköping 1–2 Stenungsund
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Division 2 - Norra Götaland
  • Fixture: Lidköping vs Stenungsund
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): Lidköping 1.45 — Stenungsund 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.6% · Probability edge: +11.2 pts · Est. EV: +28.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Norra Götaland Division 2 - Norra GötalandClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Husqvarna FF 20 17 3 0 54
2 Skara 21 14 5 2 47
3 IFK Skövde 21 12 5 4 41
4 Ahlafors 20 9 7 4 34
5 Grebbestad 21 10 3 8 33
6 Herrestads 20 8 7 5 31
7 Vänersborgs FK 21 8 4 9 28
8 Stenungsund 21 7 6 8 27
9 Motala 21 5 8 8 23
10 Kumla 21 5 7 9 22
11 Lidköping 20 4 6 10 18
12 Tord 21 2 9 10 15
13 IF Karlstad II 21 2 7 12 13
14 Vänersborgs IF 21 2 3 16 9
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Husqvarna FF 20 50 15 +35 54
2 Skara 21 46 22 +24 47
3 Ahlafors 20 45 24 +21 34
4 IFK Skövde 21 38 24 +14 41
5 Herrestads 20 38 35 +3 31
6 Stenungsund 21 36 29 +7 27
7 Grebbestad 21 36 31 +5 33
8 Motala 21 28 29 -1 23
9 Vänersborgs FK 21 28 34 -6 28
10 Tord 21 23 36 -13 15
11 IF Karlstad II 21 23 41 -18 13
12 Lidköping 20 21 38 -17 18
13 Vänersborgs IF 21 21 58 -37 9
14 Kumla 21 20 37 -17 22