Twente / Heracles U21 vs Sittard U21 Statistics & Analysis

Twente / Heracles U21

May 16, 2026 - 10:30

5 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 31%

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Sittard U21

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Twente / Heracles U21 Twente / Heracles U21 ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 1-1, 3-1, 2-0, 1-0 5-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 23:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3327272

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Twente / Heracles U21 win · Twente / Heracles U21 5–2 Sittard U21

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Eredivisie U21
Fixture: Twente / Heracles U21 vs Sittard U21
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 10:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Twente / Heracles U21 1.45 — Sittard U21 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 29.4% · Over 2.5 70.6%); BTTS No (Yes 45.8% · No 54.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 45.8% · No 54.2%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Eredivisie U21 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Groningen Under 21	14	11	1	2	34
2	Feyenoord Under 21	14	7	2	5	23
3	Cambuur U21	14	7	1	6	22
4	Willem II U21	15	7	1	7	22
4	Willem II Tilburg U21	15	7	1	7	22
5	Twente / Heracles U21	14	6	2	6	20
6	De Graafschap U21	14	5	3	6	18
7	PEC Zwolle U21	14	5	0	9	15
8	Go Ahead Eagles Under 21	14	4	0	10	12

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Feyenoord Under 21	14	30	27	+3	23
2	Cambuur U21	14	29	22	+7	22
3	Twente / Heracles U21	14	29	26	+3	20
4	Groningen Under 21	14	28	11	+17	34
5	Willem II U21	15	27	25	+2	22
6	Willem II Tilburg U21	15	27	25	+2	22
7	PEC Zwolle U21	14	22	33	-11	15
8	De Graafschap U21	14	18	21	-3	18
9	Go Ahead Eagles Under 21	14	14	30	-16	12