Statistiche / Calcio / Paesi Bassi. Eredivisie U21 / Twente / Heracles U21 vs Cambuur U21

Twente / Heracles U21 vs Cambuur U21 Statistics & Analysis

Twente / Heracles U21 Twente / Heracles U21
May 09, 2026 - 13:00
4 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 40%
Cambuur U21 Cambuur U21
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 draw Twente / Heracles U21 ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-3 4-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 05:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2578062

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Twente / Heracles U21 win · Twente / Heracles U21 4–2 Cambuur U21
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Eredivisie U21
  • Fixture: Twente / Heracles U21 vs Cambuur U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 10:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Twente / Heracles U21 1.45 — Cambuur U21 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 24.6% · Over 2.5 75.4%); BTTS Yes (Yes 63.4% · No 36.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 63.4% · No 36.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (7.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 22, 2026 (UTC)

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Eredivisie U21 Eredivisie U21 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Groningen Under 21 14 11 1 2 34
2 Feyenoord Under 21 14 7 2 5 23
3 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 22
4 Willem II U21 15 7 1 7 22
4 Willem II Tilburg U21 15 7 1 7 22
5 Twente / Heracles U21 14 6 2 6 20
6 De Graafschap U21 14 5 3 6 18
7 PEC Zwolle U21 14 5 0 9 15
8 Go Ahead Eagles Under 21 14 4 0 10 12
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Feyenoord Under 21 14 30 27 +3 23
2 Cambuur U21 14 29 22 +7 22
3 Twente / Heracles U21 14 29 26 +3 20
4 Groningen Under 21 14 28 11 +17 34
5 Willem II U21 15 27 25 +2 22
6 Willem II Tilburg U21 15 27 25 +2 22
7 PEC Zwolle U21 14 22 33 -11 15
8 De Graafschap U21 14 18 21 -3 18
9 Go Ahead Eagles Under 21 14 14 30 -16 12
Eredivisie U21 Paesi Bassi. Eredivisie U21 Pronostici