Meshakhte vs Saburtalo Statistics & Analysis

Meshakhte

Oct 10, 2026 - 11:30

1 1.21

2 1.39

xG Accuracy: 80%

Saburtalo

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Saburtalo Saburtalo ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13191738

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Saburtalo win · Meshakhte 1–2 Saburtalo

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Erovnuli Liga
Fixture: Meshakhte vs Saburtalo
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
xG (showing): Meshakhte 1.21 — Saburtalo 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Erovnuli Liga — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Rustavi	28	14	7	7	49
2	Saburtalo	28	15	4	9	49
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	48
4	Dinamo Batumi	27	13	8	6	47
5	Dila Gori	28	12	4	12	40
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	28	9	10	9	37
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	32
8	Gagra	27	6	11	10	29
9	Spaeri	28	5	11	12	26
10	Meshakhte	28	2	11	15	17

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Dinamo Batumi	27	46	36	+10	47
2	Torpedo Kutaisi	28	46	37	+9	37
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	45	30	+15	48
4	Saburtalo	28	40	31	+9	49
5	Dila Gori	28	39	33	+6	40
6	Samgurali	27	38	52	-14	32
7	Spaeri	28	37	46	-9	26
8	Rustavi	28	35	24	+11	49
9	Gagra	27	25	37	-12	29
10	Meshakhte	28	21	46	-25	17