Statistiche / Calcio / Islanda. Úrvalsdeild / Víkingur Reykjavík vs KA Akureyri

Víkingur Reykjavík vs KA Akureyri Statistics & Analysis

Víkingur Reykjavík Víkingur Reykjavík
Jul 02, 2026 - 19:15
3 1.41
2 1.19
xG Accuracy: 52%
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Víkingur Reykjavík Víkingur Reykjavík ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 17:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1481140

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Víkingur Reykjavík win · Víkingur Reykjavík 3–2 KA Akureyri
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Úrvalsdeild
  • Fixture: Víkingur Reykjavík vs KA Akureyri
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-02 19:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): Víkingur Reykjavík 1.41 — KA Akureyri 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.3%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Úrvalsdeild Úrvalsdeild — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Víkingur Reykjavík 22 16 5 1 53
2 Fram Reykjavík 22 13 6 3 45
3 KR Reykjavík 22 13 5 4 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 30
5 IA Akranes 22 8 6 8 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 28
8 Valur Reykjavík 22 8 3 11 27
9 FH Hafnarfjörður 22 4 9 9 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 18
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 KR Reykjavík 22 74 49 +25 44
2 Víkingur Reykjavík 22 67 21 +46 53
3 Fram Reykjavík 22 56 42 +14 45
4 Breidablik 22 43 41 +2 30
5 Stjarnan 22 42 50 -8 28
6 IA Akranes 22 39 41 -2 30
7 Valur Reykjavík 22 39 45 -6 27
8 KA Akureyri 22 35 48 -13 20
9 Keflavik 22 33 38 -5 28
10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 32 45 -13 18
11 FH Hafnarfjörður 22 27 39 -12 21
12 Thor Akureyri 22 22 50 -28 21
Úrvalsdeild Islanda. Úrvalsdeild Pronostici