Statistiche / Calcio / Paesi Bassi. U19 Divisie 1 / Ajax U19 vs PSV U19

Ajax U19 vs PSV U19 Statistics & Analysis

Ajax U19 Ajax U19
May 16, 2026 - 12:30
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
PSV U19 PSV U19
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Ajax U19 PSV U19 ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-3 1-3 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 10:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3042776

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result PSV U19 win · Ajax U19 1–3 PSV U19
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: U19 Divisie 1
  • Fixture: Ajax U19 vs PSV U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-16 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Ajax U19 1.45 — PSV U19 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 23.8% · Over 2.5 76.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 81.1% · No 18.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 81.1% · No 18.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (7.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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U19 Divisie 1 U19 Divisie 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 AZ U19 14 10 2 2 32
2 Feyenoord U19 14 9 5 0 32
3 PSV U19 14 7 4 3 25
4 Ajax U19 14 5 2 7 17
5 NEC Nijmegen U19 14 4 4 6 16
6 ADO Den Haag U19 14 4 2 8 14
7 Willem II U19 14 4 0 10 12
8 Utrecht U19 14 2 3 9 9
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 AZ U19 14 40 19 +21 32
2 Feyenoord U19 14 34 16 +18 32
3 NEC Nijmegen U19 14 34 36 -2 16
4 Ajax U19 14 31 30 +1 17
5 PSV U19 14 29 22 +7 25
6 Willem II U19 14 23 39 -16 12
7 ADO Den Haag U19 14 22 34 -12 14
8 Utrecht U19 14 18 35 -17 9