Betlemi vs Margveti 2006 Statistics & Analysis

Betlemi

Sep 10, 2026 - 12:00

0 1.36

5 1.24

xG Accuracy: 24%

Margveti 2006

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Betlemi Margveti 2006 ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 04, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6847429

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Margveti 2006 win · Betlemi 0–5 Margveti 2006

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga 3 georgiana
Fixture: Betlemi vs Margveti 2006
Kickoff: 2026-09-10 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Betlemi 1.36 — Margveti 2006 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga 3 georgiana — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Varketili	21	14	7	0	49
2	Guria	21	15	3	3	48
3	Saburtalo II	21	10	8	3	38
4	Merani Tbilisi	21	11	5	5	38
5	WIT Georgia	21	10	5	6	35
6	Gonio	21	10	5	6	35
7	Irao	21	10	4	7	34
8	Didube 2014	21	9	6	6	33
9	Dinamo Tbilisi II	21	9	5	7	32
10	Margveti 2006	21	8	3	10	27
11	Lokomotivi Tbilisi	21	6	7	8	25
12	Kolkheti Khobi	21	6	3	12	21
13	Gardabani	21	4	4	13	16
14	Iveria Khashuri	21	1	9	11	12
15	Iberia 2010	21	2	4	15	10
16	Betlemi	21	2	4	15	10

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Guria	21	61	11	+50	48
2	Varketili	21	54	13	+41	49
3	Irao	21	36	23	+13	34
4	WIT Georgia	21	35	22	+13	35
5	Merani Tbilisi	21	35	25	+10	38
6	Dinamo Tbilisi II	21	34	28	+6	32
7	Didube 2014	21	32	26	+6	33
8	Saburtalo II	21	31	16	+15	38
9	Gonio	21	31	22	+9	35
10	Margveti 2006	21	27	35	-8	27
11	Kolkheti Khobi	21	27	43	-16	21
12	Lokomotivi Tbilisi	21	25	28	-3	25
13	Iveria Khashuri	21	20	44	-24	12
14	Gardabani	21	18	50	-32	16
15	Iberia 2010	21	16	54	-38	10
16	Betlemi	21	11	53	-42	10