Umeå FC vs Hammarby Talang Statistics & Analysis

Umeå FC

Oct 04, 2026 - 15:00

2 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 76%

Hammarby Talang

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Hammarby Talang Umeå FC ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11678375

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Umeå FC win · Umeå FC 2–1 Hammarby Talang

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Ettan - Norra
Fixture: Umeå FC vs Hammarby Talang
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Umeå FC 1.29 — Hammarby Talang 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Ettan - Norra — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Stockholm Internazionale	26	19	3	4	60
2	Arlanda	26	14	6	6	48
3	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	47
4	Hammarby Talang	25	13	6	6	45
5	IF Karlstad	26	12	8	6	44
6	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	43
7	Enköping	25	13	3	9	42
8	Karlbergs BK	26	9	6	11	33
9	Assyriska FF	25	9	5	11	32
10	Umeå FC	25	9	5	11	32
11	Gefle IF	25	9	3	13	30
12	Vasalund	26	7	7	12	28
13	Sollentuna	26	6	9	11	27
14	Piteå	25	5	7	13	22
15	Järfälla	25	5	4	16	19
16	Stocksund	26	3	6	17	15

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Stockholm Internazionale	26	63	21	+42	60
2	Hammarby Talang	25	51	25	+26	45
3	AFC Eskilstuna	26	48	37	+11	47
4	Arlanda	26	46	31	+15	48
5	Stocksund	26	45	64	-19	15
6	Assyriska FF	25	43	45	-2	32
7	FBK Karlstad	25	41	35	+6	43
8	IF Karlstad	26	40	25	+15	44
9	Vasalund	26	39	55	-16	28
10	Enköping	25	38	40	-2	42
11	Karlbergs BK	26	36	44	-8	33
12	Umeå FC	25	34	41	-7	32
13	Järfälla	25	33	55	-22	19
14	Piteå	25	30	46	-16	22
15	Gefle IF	25	29	43	-14	30
16	Sollentuna	26	27	36	-9	27