Statistiche / Calcio / Svezia. Ettan - Norra / Järfälla vs Assyriska FF

Järfälla vs Assyriska FF Statistics & Analysis

Aug 29, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.31
2 1.29
xG Accuracy: 57%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Järfälla Assyriska FF ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5137257

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Assyriska FF win · Järfälla 0–2 Assyriska FF
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ettan - Norra
  • Fixture: Järfälla vs Assyriska FF
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Järfälla 1.31 — Assyriska FF 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 38.0% · Probability edge: +13.8 pts · Est. EV: +32.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Ettan - Norra Ettan - Norra — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Stockholm Internazionale 24 17 3 4 54
2 AFC Eskilstuna 24 14 4 6 46
3 Hammarby Talang 24 13 6 5 45
4 Arlanda 23 12 6 5 42
5 IF Karlstad 23 11 6 6 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 39
7 Enköping 23 12 3 8 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 32
9 Gefle IF 23 9 3 11 30
10 Umeå FC 23 8 5 10 29
11 Karlbergs BK 23 8 4 11 28
12 Sollentuna 24 5 9 10 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 24
14 Piteå 23 4 6 13 18
15 Järfälla 24 5 3 16 18
16 Stocksund 24 3 5 16 14
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Stockholm Internazionale 24 57 20 +37 54
2 Hammarby Talang 24 50 23 +27 45
3 AFC Eskilstuna 24 45 32 +13 46
4 Stocksund 24 44 60 -16 14
5 Assyriska FF 23 42 40 +2 32
6 Arlanda 23 40 27 +13 42
7 Enköping 23 37 38 -1 39
8 FBK Karlstad 23 36 32 +4 39
9 IF Karlstad 23 35 23 +12 39
10 Vasalund 23 34 48 -14 24
11 Järfälla 24 32 54 -22 18
12 Umeå FC 23 31 37 -6 29
13 Karlbergs BK 23 29 38 -9 28
14 Gefle IF 23 29 41 -12 30
15 Piteå 23 27 44 -17 18
16 Sollentuna 24 22 33 -11 24