Statistiche / Calcio / Svezia. Elitettan / Häcken II vs Örebro Söder W

Häcken II vs Örebro Söder W Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.19
3 1.41
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Örebro Söder W Örebro Söder W ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11224560

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Örebro Söder W win · Häcken II 2–3 Örebro Söder W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Häcken II vs Örebro Söder W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
  • xG (showing): Häcken II 1.19 — Örebro Söder W 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Elfsborg 21 14 6 1 48
2 KIF Örebro 21 15 2 4 47
3 Göteborg 21 13 6 2 45
4 Linköping 21 13 3 5 42
5 Umeå 21 11 4 6 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 9 5 7 32
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 21 8 4 9 28
8 Jitex BK Donne 21 7 6 8 27
9 Örebro Söder W 21 7 5 9 26
10 Enskede W 21 6 4 11 22
11 Alingsås W 21 4 7 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala SK W 21 4 5 12 17
13 Sandviken Femminile 21 2 5 14 11
14 Häcken II 21 2 2 17 8
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Göteborg 21 52 24 +28 45
2 KIF Örebro 21 50 25 +25 47
3 Elfsborg 21 41 12 +29 48
4 Linköping 21 39 28 +11 42
5 Umeå 21 37 24 +13 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 30 31 -1 32
7 Enskede W 21 29 39 -10 22
8 Jitex BK Donne 21 28 30 -2 27
9 Husqvarna FF Donne 21 28 32 -4 28
10 Örebro Söder W 21 26 32 -6 26
11 Gamla Upsala SK W 21 22 35 -13 17
12 Häcken II 21 22 45 -23 8
13 Sandviken Femminile 21 20 56 -36 11
14 Alingsås W 21 18 29 -11 19