Statistiche / Calcio / Svezia. Elitettan / Sandviken Femminile vs Umeå

Sandviken Femminile vs Umeå Statistics & Analysis

Sandviken Femminile Sandviken Femminile
Sep 26, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.24
2 1.36
xG Accuracy: 78%
Umeå Umeå
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Umeå Umeå ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10082168

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Umeå win · Sandviken Femminile 1–2 Umeå
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Sandviken Femminile vs Umeå
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Sandviken Femminile 1.24 — Umeå 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Elfsborg 20 13 6 1 45
2 KIF Örebro 20 14 2 4 44
3 Göteborg 20 12 6 2 42
4 Linköping 20 13 3 4 42
5 Umeå 20 10 4 6 34
6 Trelleborg W 20 9 5 6 32
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 20 8 4 8 28
8 Jitex BK Donne 20 6 6 8 24
9 Örebro Söder W 20 6 5 9 23
10 Alingsås W 20 4 7 9 19
11 Enskede W 20 5 4 11 19
12 Gamla Upsala SK W 20 4 5 11 17
13 Sandviken Femminile 20 2 5 13 11
14 Häcken II 20 2 2 16 8
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Göteborg 20 50 23 +27 42
2 KIF Örebro 20 43 25 +18 44
3 Linköping 20 38 26 +12 42
4 Elfsborg 20 37 10 +27 45
5 Umeå 20 35 24 +11 34
6 Trelleborg W 20 28 27 +1 32
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 20 28 30 -2 28
8 Enskede W 20 27 38 -11 19
9 Jitex BK Donne 20 26 29 -3 24
10 Örebro Söder W 20 23 30 -7 23
11 Gamla Upsala SK W 20 21 33 -12 17
12 Häcken II 20 20 42 -22 8
13 Sandviken Femminile 20 20 49 -29 11
14 Alingsås W 20 17 27 -10 19
Elitettan Svezia. Elitettan Pronostici