Statistiche / Calcio / Svezia. Elitettan / Örebro Söder W vs Jitex BK Donne

Örebro Söder W vs Jitex BK Donne Statistics & Analysis

Sep 20, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.40
4 1.20
xG Accuracy: 42%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Örebro Söder W Jitex BK Donne ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8665038

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Jitex BK Donne win · Örebro Söder W 1–4 Jitex BK Donne
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Örebro Söder W vs Jitex BK Donne
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Örebro Söder W 1.4 — Jitex BK Donne 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Elfsborg 19 13 5 1 44
2 Linköping 20 13 3 4 42
3 Göteborg 19 12 5 2 41
4 KIF Örebro 19 13 2 4 41
5 Umeå 19 9 4 6 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 8 5 6 29
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 19 7 4 8 25
8 Jitex BK Donne 19 6 5 8 23
9 Örebro Söder W 20 6 5 9 23
10 Alingsås W 19 4 7 8 19
11 Enskede W 19 5 4 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala SK W 19 4 5 10 17
13 Sandviken Femminile 19 2 5 12 11
14 Häcken II 19 2 1 16 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Göteborg 19 49 22 +27 41
2 KIF Örebro 19 41 24 +17 41
3 Linköping 20 38 26 +12 42
4 Elfsborg 19 36 9 +27 44
5 Umeå 19 33 23 +10 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 27 27 0 29
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 19 27 30 -3 25
8 Enskede W 19 26 36 -10 19
9 Jitex BK Donne 19 24 27 -3 23
10 Örebro Söder W 20 23 30 -7 23
11 Gamla Upsala SK W 19 21 32 -11 17
12 Sandviken Femminile 19 19 47 -28 11
13 Häcken II 19 18 40 -22 7
14 Alingsås W 19 17 26 -9 19