Statistiche / Calcio / Svezia. Elitettan / Häcken II vs Umeå

Häcken II vs Umeå Statistics & Analysis

Häcken II Häcken II
Sep 12, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.18
2 1.42
xG Accuracy: 62%
Umeå Umeå
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Umeå Umeå ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 00:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7421612

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Umeå win · Häcken II 0–2 Umeå
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Häcken II vs Umeå
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
  • xG (showing): Häcken II 1.18 — Umeå 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Elfsborg 19 13 5 1 44
2 Linköping 19 13 3 3 42
3 Göteborg 19 12 5 2 41
4 KIF Örebro 19 13 2 4 41
5 Umeå 19 9 4 6 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 8 5 6 29
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 19 7 4 8 25
8 Jitex BK Donne 19 6 5 8 23
9 Örebro Söder W 19 5 5 9 20
10 Alingsås W 19 4 7 8 19
11 Enskede W 19 5 4 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala SK W 19 4 5 10 17
13 Sandviken Femminile 19 2 5 12 11
14 Häcken II 19 2 1 16 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Göteborg 19 49 22 +27 41
2 KIF Örebro 19 41 24 +17 41
3 Linköping 19 38 24 +14 42
4 Elfsborg 19 36 9 +27 44
5 Umeå 19 33 23 +10 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 27 27 0 29
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 19 27 30 -3 25
8 Enskede W 19 26 36 -10 19
9 Jitex BK Donne 19 24 27 -3 23
10 Örebro Söder W 19 21 30 -9 20
11 Gamla Upsala SK W 19 21 32 -11 17
12 Sandviken Femminile 19 19 47 -28 11
13 Häcken II 19 18 40 -22 7
14 Alingsås W 19 17 26 -9 19
Elitettan Svezia. Elitettan Pronostici