Statistiche / Calcio / Svezia. Elitettan / Sandviken Femminile vs Örebro Söder W

Sandviken Femminile vs Örebro Söder W Statistics & Analysis

Sep 05, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.26
1 1.34
xG Accuracy: 85%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Örebro Söder W Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 02:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6137334

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Sandviken Femminile 1–1 Örebro Söder W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Sandviken Femminile vs Örebro Söder W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Sandviken Femminile 1.26 — Örebro Söder W 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Elfsborg 20 13 6 1 45
2 KIF Örebro 20 14 2 4 44
3 Göteborg 20 12 6 2 42
4 Linköping 20 13 3 4 42
5 Umeå 20 10 4 6 34
6 Trelleborg W 20 9 5 6 32
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 20 8 4 8 28
8 Jitex BK Donne 20 6 6 8 24
9 Örebro Söder W 20 6 5 9 23
10 Alingsås W 20 4 7 9 19
11 Enskede W 20 5 4 11 19
12 Gamla Upsala SK W 20 4 5 11 17
13 Sandviken Femminile 20 2 5 13 11
14 Häcken II 20 2 2 16 8
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Göteborg 20 50 23 +27 42
2 KIF Örebro 20 43 25 +18 44
3 Linköping 20 38 26 +12 42
4 Elfsborg 20 37 10 +27 45
5 Umeå 20 35 24 +11 34
6 Trelleborg W 20 28 27 +1 32
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 20 28 30 -2 28
8 Enskede W 20 27 38 -11 19
9 Jitex BK Donne 20 26 29 -3 24
10 Örebro Söder W 20 23 30 -7 23
11 Gamla Upsala SK W 20 21 33 -12 17
12 Häcken II 20 20 42 -22 8
13 Sandviken Femminile 20 20 49 -29 11
14 Alingsås W 20 17 27 -10 19