Statistiche / Calcio / Svezia. Elitettan / Örebro Söder W vs Umeå

Örebro Söder W vs Umeå Statistics & Analysis

Jun 21, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Örebro Söder W Örebro Söder W ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 17:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2995606

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Örebro Söder W win · Örebro Söder W 1–0 Umeå
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Örebro Söder W vs Umeå
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-21 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Örebro Söder W 1.31 — Umeå 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Elfsborg 19 13 5 1 44
2 Linköping 19 13 3 3 42
3 Göteborg 19 12 5 2 41
4 KIF Örebro 19 13 2 4 41
5 Umeå 19 9 4 6 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 8 5 6 29
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 19 7 4 8 25
8 Jitex BK Donne 19 6 5 8 23
9 Örebro Söder W 19 5 5 9 20
10 Alingsås W 19 4 7 8 19
11 Enskede W 19 5 4 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala SK W 19 4 5 10 17
13 Sandviken Femminile 19 2 5 12 11
14 Häcken II 19 2 1 16 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Göteborg 19 49 22 +27 41
2 KIF Örebro 19 41 24 +17 41
3 Linköping 19 38 24 +14 42
4 Elfsborg 19 36 9 +27 44
5 Umeå 19 33 23 +10 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 27 27 0 29
7 Husqvarna FF Donne 19 27 30 -3 25
8 Enskede W 19 26 36 -10 19
9 Jitex BK Donne 19 24 27 -3 23
10 Örebro Söder W 19 21 30 -9 20
11 Gamla Upsala SK W 19 21 32 -11 17
12 Sandviken Femminile 19 19 47 -28 11
13 Häcken II 19 18 40 -22 7
14 Alingsås W 19 17 26 -9 19