Statistiche / Calcio / Burundi. Ligue A Burundi / Royal Vision vs Vital'O

Royal Vision vs Vital'O Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Royal Vision Vital'O ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 16:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2630313

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vital'O win · Royal Vision 0–1 Vital'O
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Ligue A Burundi
  • Fixture: Royal Vision vs Vital'O
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Royal Vision 1.45 — Vital'O 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 54.4% · Over 2.5 45.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.9% · No 45.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.9% · No 45.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.8%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligue A Burundi Ligue A Burundi — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 18
16 Green Farmers FC 30 1 4 25 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Aigle Noir 30 62 25 +37 71
2 Rukinzo 30 49 28 +21 50
3 Royal Vision 30 47 31 +16 53
4 Bumamuru 30 47 33 +14 49
5 Vital'O 30 45 27 +18 50
6 Musongati 30 42 21 +21 59
7 Flambeau du Centre 30 42 23 +19 56
8 Kayanza United 30 40 45 -5 36
9 Muzinga 30 37 38 -1 43
10 Inter Star 30 37 42 -5 32
11 Ngozi City 30 37 43 -6 33
12 Olympic Star 30 36 35 +1 39
13 Dynamik 30 35 58 -23 29
14 Le Messager Ngozi 30 31 33 -2 33
15 Green Farmers FC 30 25 84 -59 7
16 Garage Express 30 15 61 -46 18