Tokyo Verdy Beleza vs Albirex Niigata Femminile Statistics & Analysis

Tokyo Verdy Beleza

May 16, 2026 - 04:00

2 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 80%

Albirex Niigata Femminile

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Tokyo Verdy Beleza Tokyo Verdy Beleza ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 20:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1639748

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Tokyo Verdy Beleza win · Tokyo Verdy Beleza 2–1 Albirex Niigata Femminile

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: WE League Giappone
Fixture: Tokyo Verdy Beleza vs Albirex Niigata Femminile
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 04:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Tokyo Verdy Beleza 1.45 — Albirex Niigata Femminile 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 48.1% · Over 2.5 51.9%); BTTS No (Yes 48.8% · No 51.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 48.8% · No 51.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

WE League Giappone — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	INAC Kobe Leonessa	22	17	2	3	53
2	Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies	22	14	2	6	44
3	Tokyo Verdy Beleza	22	13	2	7	41
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Regina	22	10	8	4	38
5	Vegalta Sendai Ladies	22	9	7	6	34
6	Albirex Niigata Femminile	22	9	4	9	31
7	Omiya Ardija Ventus	22	6	9	7	27
8	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	22	8	3	11	27
9	JEF United Femminile	22	6	6	10	24
10	Cerezo Osaka Femminile	22	5	6	11	21
11	Elfen Saitama Femminile	22	5	3	14	18
12	AC Nagano Parceiro Ladies	22	2	4	16	10

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	INAC Kobe Leonessa	22	50	13	+37	53
2	Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies	22	46	15	+31	44
3	Tokyo Verdy Beleza	22	44	23	+21	41
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Regina	22	30	20	+10	38
5	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	22	28	34	-6	27
6	Omiya Ardija Ventus	22	24	28	-4	27
7	Albirex Niigata Femminile	22	23	27	-4	31
8	Vegalta Sendai Ladies	22	22	19	+3	34
9	Cerezo Osaka Femminile	22	20	34	-14	21
10	Elfen Saitama Femminile	22	20	37	-17	18
11	JEF United Femminile	22	16	34	-18	24
12	AC Nagano Parceiro Ladies	22	16	55	-39	10