Juventud Unida vs Berazategui Statistics & Analysis

Juventud Unida

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00

3 1.15

2 1.45

xG Accuracy: 52%

Berazategui

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Berazategui Juventud Unida ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11261790

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Juventud Unida win · Juventud Unida 3–2 Berazategui

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Primera C Argentina
Fixture: Juventud Unida vs Berazategui
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
xG (showing): Juventud Unida 1.15 — Berazategui 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 33.8% · Probability edge: +14.4 pts · Est. EV: +39.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera C Argentina — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Berazategui	31	12	12	7	48
2	Centro Español	31	12	11	8	47
3	Sacachispas	31	13	8	10	47
4	Lugano	31	11	13	7	46
5	Juventud Unida	31	12	9	10	45
6	Estrella Del Sur	31	11	12	8	45
7	Mercedes	31	11	11	9	44
8	Victoriano Arenas	31	10	14	7	44
9	Puerto Nuevo	31	9	11	11	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	9	9	13	36
11	JJ Urquiza	31	6	14	11	32
12	Deportivo Paraguayo	31	7	11	13	32
13	Leandro N. Alem	31	8	7	16	31
14	Argentino Rosario	31	4	15	12	27

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Centro Español	31	42	28	+14	47
2	Juventud Unida	31	38	31	+7	45
3	Berazategui	31	37	24	+13	48
4	Lugano	31	35	28	+7	46
5	Sacachispas	31	32	26	+6	47
6	Estrella Del Sur	31	31	29	+2	45
7	Mercedes	31	30	24	+6	44
8	Argentino Rosario	31	30	41	-11	27
9	Leandro N. Alem	31	30	56	-26	31
10	Puerto Nuevo	31	28	35	-7	38
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	25	31	-6	36
12	Victoriano Arenas	31	24	19	+5	44
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	31	23	39	-16	32
14	JJ Urquiza	31	19	26	-7	32