Fénix vs Deportivo Muñiz Statistics & Analysis

Fénix

Sep 21, 2026 - 18:00

1 1.45

0 1.15

xG Accuracy: 64%

Deportivo Muñiz

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Fénix Fénix ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8709400

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Fénix win · Fénix 1–0 Deportivo Muñiz

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Primera C Argentina
Fixture: Fénix vs Deportivo Muñiz
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): Fénix 1.45 — Deportivo Muñiz 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera C Argentina — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Berazategui	30	12	12	6	48
2	Lugano	30	11	13	6	46
3	Sacachispas	30	13	7	10	46
4	Estrella Del Sur	30	11	11	8	44
5	Mercedes	30	11	10	9	43
6	Juventud Unida	30	11	9	10	42
7	Centro Español	29	10	11	8	41
8	Victoriano Arenas	30	9	14	7	41
9	Puerto Nuevo	30	9	11	10	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	9	9	11	36
11	Deportivo Paraguayo	30	7	10	13	31
12	JJ Urquiza	29	5	14	10	29
13	Leandro N. Alem	29	7	7	15	28
14	Argentino Rosario	30	3	15	12	24

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Berazategui	30	35	21	+14	48
2	Centro Español	29	35	27	+8	41
3	Juventud Unida	30	35	29	+6	42
4	Lugano	30	33	25	+8	46
5	Sacachispas	30	32	26	+6	46
6	Estrella Del Sur	30	31	29	+2	44
7	Mercedes	30	29	23	+6	43
8	Puerto Nuevo	30	27	31	-4	38
9	Argentino Rosario	30	27	39	-12	24
10	Leandro N. Alem	29	27	50	-23	28
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	25	28	-3	36
12	Victoriano Arenas	30	23	19	+4	41
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	30	22	38	-16	31
14	JJ Urquiza	29	14	23	-9	29