Dock Sud vs Deportivo Armenio Statistics & Analysis

Dock Sud

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00

0 1.21

3 1.39

xG Accuracy: 46%

Deportivo Armenio

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11261328

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Deportivo Armenio win · Dock Sud 0–3 Deportivo Armenio

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Primera B Metropolitana
Fixture: Dock Sud vs Deportivo Armenio
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
xG (showing): Dock Sud 1.21 — Deportivo Armenio 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 39.7% · Probability edge: +8.5 pts · Est. EV: +15.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera B Metropolitana — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	74
2	Arsenal de Sarandí	38	19	12	7	69
3	Talleres de Remedios	37	19	10	8	67
4	Villa Dálmine	38	17	13	8	64
5	Deportivo Camioneros	38	17	12	9	63
6	Sportivo Italiano	37	17	11	9	62
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	61
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	17	9	12	60
9	Comunicaciones	37	14	12	11	54
10	Deportivo Laferrere	38	13	12	13	51
11	San Martín Burzaco	38	12	14	12	50
12	Dock Sud	38	11	14	13	47
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	47
14	Argentino de Merlo	38	11	11	16	44
15	Argentino Quilmes	38	9	16	13	43
16	Liniers	38	10	13	15	43
17	Deportivo Merlo	37	10	13	14	43
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	41
19	Brown de Adrogué	37	8	14	15	38
20	Flandria	37	10	8	19	38
21	UAI Urquiza	37	4	20	13	32
22	Ituzaingó	37	1	12	24	15

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Excursionistas	38	59	30	+29	74
2	Arsenal de Sarandí	38	50	25	+25	69
3	Deportivo Laferrere	38	46	50	-4	51
4	Sportivo Italiano	37	43	28	+15	62
5	Deportivo Camioneros	38	43	29	+14	63
6	Real Pilar	38	42	38	+4	61
7	Deportivo Armenio	38	42	38	+4	60
8	Talleres de Remedios	37	40	21	+19	67
9	Dock Sud	38	40	42	-2	47
10	San Martín Burzaco	38	39	41	-2	50
11	Villa Dálmine	38	38	23	+15	64
12	Comunicaciones	37	38	33	+5	54
13	Villa San Carlos	38	37	39	-2	47
14	Deportivo Merlo	37	36	51	-15	43
15	Argentino de Merlo	38	33	39	-6	44
16	Defensores Unidos	38	33	39	-6	41
17	Flandria	37	33	47	-14	38
18	Liniers	38	31	39	-8	43
19	Argentino Quilmes	38	30	37	-7	43
20	Brown de Adrogué	37	24	37	-13	38
21	Ituzaingó	37	23	59	-36	15
22	UAI Urquiza	37	18	33	-15	32