Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn Statistics & Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste

Oct 02, 2026 - 22:00

0 1.24

2 1.36

xG Accuracy: 60%

Deportivo Madryn

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11261118

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Deportivo Madryn win · Ferro Carril Oeste 0–2 Deportivo Madryn

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Primera Nacional Argentina
Fixture: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 22:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Ferro Carril Oeste 1.24 — Deportivo Madryn 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.4% · Implied: 41.5% · Probability edge: +12.9 pts · Est. EV: +22.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera Nacional Argentina — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	61
2	Deportivo Morón	32	17	7	8	58
3	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	53
4	Godoy Cruz	31	15	8	8	53
5	Colón de Santa Fe	32	14	10	8	52
6	Almirante Brown	32	12	10	10	46
7	CA Estudiantes	32	12	9	11	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	11	12	9	45
9	Los Andes	31	9	13	9	40
10	Chaco For Ever	32	9	10	13	37
11	Defensores de Belgrano	32	8	13	11	37
12	San Telmo	32	9	10	13	37
13	Racing Córdoba	32	9	10	13	37
14	Atlético Mitre	32	7	14	11	35
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	33
17	San Miguel	32	6	13	13	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	29

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Deportivo Morón	32	51	32	+19	58
2	Deportivo Madryn	32	46	28	+18	53
3	Godoy Cruz	31	40	28	+12	53
4	Colón de Santa Fe	32	39	25	+14	52
5	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	36	27	+9	61
6	Chaco For Ever	32	30	33	-3	37
7	CA Estudiantes	32	29	27	+2	45
8	Racing Córdoba	32	29	39	-10	37
9	Atlético Mitre	32	29	39	-10	35
10	San Telmo	32	28	36	-8	37
11	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	27	28	-1	45
12	Almirante Brown	32	25	21	+4	46
13	Defensores de Belgrano	32	25	29	-4	37
14	San Miguel	32	25	38	-13	31
15	Los Andes	31	24	21	+3	40
16	Acassuso	32	22	35	-13	29
17	Central Norte	32	20	29	-9	33
18	All Boys	32	18	28	-10	33