Almirante Brown vs Los Andes Statistics & Analysis

Almirante Brown

Jul 04, 2026 - 18:30

1 1.40

0 1.20

xG Accuracy: 64%

Los Andes

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 21:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1765719

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Almirante Brown win · Almirante Brown 1–0 Los Andes

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Primera Nacional Argentina
Fixture: Almirante Brown vs Los Andes
Kickoff: 2026-07-04 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.9% · Draw 31.1% · Away 30.0%
xG (showing): Almirante Brown 1.4 — Los Andes 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 28.3% · Probability edge: +19.9 pts · Est. EV: +75.9%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera Nacional Argentina — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	61
2	Deportivo Morón	32	17	7	8	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	53
5	Colón de Santa Fe	32	14	10	8	52
6	Almirante Brown	32	12	10	10	46
7	CA Estudiantes	32	12	9	11	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	11	12	9	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	40
10	Chaco For Ever	32	9	10	13	37
11	Defensores de Belgrano	32	8	13	11	37
12	San Telmo	32	9	10	13	37
13	Racing Córdoba	32	9	10	13	37
14	Atlético Mitre	32	7	14	11	35
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	33
17	San Miguel	32	6	13	13	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	29

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Deportivo Morón	32	51	32	+19	58
2	Deportivo Madryn	32	46	28	+18	53
3	Godoy Cruz	32	42	29	+13	56
4	Colón de Santa Fe	32	39	25	+14	52
5	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	36	27	+9	61
6	Chaco For Ever	32	30	33	-3	37
7	CA Estudiantes	32	29	27	+2	45
8	Racing Córdoba	32	29	39	-10	37
9	Atlético Mitre	32	29	39	-10	35
10	San Telmo	32	28	36	-8	37
11	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	27	28	-1	45
12	Almirante Brown	32	25	21	+4	46
13	Los Andes	32	25	23	+2	40
14	Defensores de Belgrano	32	25	29	-4	37
15	San Miguel	32	25	38	-13	31
16	Acassuso	32	22	35	-13	29
17	Central Norte	32	20	29	-9	33
18	All Boys	32	18	28	-10	33